To have or not to have-Babies in Australia

 

Dr. Kerrie Allen, AFA

Recent ABS data has shown a growth in the numbers of babies being born to Australian women. The number of births in the six months to September last year show more than 133,000 babies were born, the biggest six-month total in the past fourteen years. This increase has resulted in around 255,000 births over the past years, the largest twelve-month total in nine years. The federal government says its $3000 ‘Baby Bonus’ established on 1 st July is not a factor contributing to this increase, however professors from Australian National University are divided as to its effect. Professor of Public Policy, Glenn Withers links the increase in births to public confidence that more family-friendly policies were on the way. Whilst Professor of Demography, Peter McDonald says its too early to tell if the increase is a direct effect from the baby bonus.

 

Despite the surge in births over the past six and twelve months, the fertility rate itself has not really changed, with figures showing 1.773 babies in 2004, just up from 1.735 in 2004, and a far cry away from 2.859 in 1970 and 3.451 in 1960. So why hasn’t the fertility rate risen with this surge of births? It would appear that the reason for this is that women are still not having more babies, but that in the past year there has been a greater cohort of women having babies. This may be due to women who delayed having babies in their twenties and early thirties. Could it also be that many babies born are those born to migrants? When we look at ABS data, we fid that the highest fertility is among women bon in the Middle East and North Africa, the fertility rate for these women being 2.7 children. Middle Eastern women are also likely to have more children, with 28% having four or more children.

 

Eminent demographer, Nicholas Eberstadt from Harvard University declared that anyone who found the determinants of fertility decline, deserved a Nobel prize. Well here are some considerations about what those determinants might be. According to Public Health scientists there are four determinants of population health. These are: biological, environmental, social and psychological determinants, and are often interlinked in complex ways.

 

Biological Determinants

Includes things such as age, gender, genetics. With regard to the declining fertility rate in Australia, an association between these cannot be made as there is not a shortage of women of childbearing age, nor is there a shortage of men. Despite this we do see many women in their mid to late thirties finding it difficult to conceive. This however may be seen as a social determinant, as many social factors have led to the delay rather than biological ones.

 

Environmental Determinants

There are two categories here – built environment and natural environment. The built environment includes policies regarding family, air quality, housing, water quality, public infrastructure, provision of basic services (health care, education), unsafe work environments, sanitation. The natural environment includes things such as disease-causing agents and vectors, climatic conditions, topography, air quality, condition of soil for growing food stuffs etc. With regard to Australia, it could be argued that certain environmental determinants may be associated with the low fertility.

 

Social Determinants

Includes such things as: distribution of wealth & low income, unemployment, work (type of work, stress, job security), social support, social exclusion (isolation), food, transport, level of education, material deprivation, issues of gender and power, religion and culture, and social thought and ideological constructions.

With regard to fertility levels in Australia, it seems there appear to be many social determinants.

 

 

 

 

 

Psychological Determinants

Includes: cognition (perceptions, capacity to learn and remember, problem-solving skills, thought processes); motivation; self-efficacy and human agency (person’s capacity and belief in their capacity to do something in the first place); personality traits.

 

There is limited research examining the influence of these determinants upon women’s fertility. However despite this many modern women are reflecting upon the tension between feminism and individualism and motherhood. It is very confusing and like negotiating a mine-field. Mokros (2002) writes: “ Because of expectations placed on young women by their parents, the men in their lives, and even other women, many will admit their desire to stay home and raise a family only to the most trustworthy of friends and of those, only to the ones they suspect feel the same way. Even then, such enticing desires are often expressed in hushed tones and with half-raised hands in a gesture characteristic of a guilty and reluctant confession”.

 

In a similar vein, de Marneffe (2004) today says: “maternal desire is constrained by a contemporary model of self that has developed in response to more recent economic and social realities…The whole arena of pregnancy, childbirth, and the daily activities of mothering involve decreased personal control, and loss of control is among the cultural and personal anxieties that maternal desire raises. For some young women struggling toward a sense of identity, it is not surprising that motherhood comes to symbolise everything antithetical to the independent life they want to pursue”. Further, it is argued that those who chose motherhood face a fear of failing, combined with the complicated, uncertain, and ever-changing cultural zeitgeist about what constitutes being an excellent mother (Mothershock, 2004).

 

It seems women may be realising the ‘un-doability’ of what Haussegger (2005) refers to as ‘Superwoman’ syndrome. With regard to fertility and childrearing, women’s self-efficacy and agency may q uite possibly be affected by the tension of the dichotomy between the ‘have it all’ promoted by feminism and the ‘I want to give’ desire inherent in themselves. Although one cannot make a direct association between women’s actual conflicts with these ideologies and the low fertility levels in Australia, it remains nevertheless an area that demands further investigation.

 

The decision ‘to have or not to have’ children in Australia seems greatly to be influenced by many determinants. Further research is recommended to further illustrate the direct associations between these and the prevailing low fertility levels.